What is the maximum portfolio allocation for a single memecoin trade?

The hard ceiling is 0.5% of your total portfolio per memecoin, with a recommended range of 0.1-0.3%. You should also set an absolute dollar cap independent of portfolio size (e.g., never more than $200 in a single memecoin). Total memecoin allocation across all positions should be limited to 2-5% of your portfolio.

How do I detect a rug pull before buying a memecoin?

Run a comprehensive rug pull detection checklist that checks mint authority (must be revoked), freeze authority (must be revoked), liquidity lock status (LP should be burned or locked 30+ days), honeypot status (verify sell transactions exist), and contract ownership (should be renounced). Any failure on these critical checks means do not buy.

Should I use leverage when trading memecoins?

Never. This is non-negotiable. Memecoins regularly move 50-100% in hours, which means even 2x leverage on a 50% drop results in total liquidation. The volatility of memecoins makes any leverage a near-certain path to losing your entire position.

Memecoin Trading | CLI Trader

WARNING: EXTREME RISK ASSET CLASS

Memecoins are the single highest-risk asset class in all of crypto. The vast majority of memecoins (estimated 95-99%) go to zero. This skill provides a framework to reduce — but NOT eliminate — the risk of catastrophic loss. Even with perfect execution of this framework, you should expect to lose money on most memecoin trades. Only allocate capital you are 100% prepared to lose entirely.

This skill provides a structured framework for evaluating, entering, and exiting memecoin positions with extreme discipline. It covers token launch mechanics, rug pull detection, liquidity analysis, social signal parsing, and the strictest position sizing rules in the entire skill set. The goal is NOT to make every memecoin trade profitable — it is to survive the inevitable losses while capturing the rare outsized winner.

When to Use This Skill

When the user wants to trade a newly launched memecoin
When evaluating a token on pump.fun or similar launchpads
When checking if a token is a potential rug pull or scam
When analyzing liquidity and safety of a memecoin pool
When parsing social signals for memecoin momentum
When setting position sizes for extremely high-risk tokens
When the user says “degen trade,” “new launch,” or “token snipe”

MANDATORY: Before ANY memecoin trade, remind the user that memecoins are extreme-risk and most go to zero. This is not optional.

What This Skill Does

Risk Framing: Establishes extreme-risk context before any analysis (MANDATORY)
Launch Awareness: Analyzes pump.fun bonding curves, launch mechanics, graduation criteria
Rug Pull Detection: Runs a multi-point safety checklist against the token contract and deployer
Liquidity Analysis: Evaluates pool depth, concentration, lock status, and slippage
Social Signal Parsing: Filters signal from noise in Twitter/X, Telegram, and influencer activity
Entry/Exit Framework: Provides extremely tight position sizing and aggressive take-profit rules
Red Flags Checklist: Comprehensive scam detection with hard-stop rules

How to Use

Token Safety Check

Is [token address] safe to trade? Run a rug pull check.

Check the contract and liquidity for [memecoin name].

Entry Evaluation

Should I ape into [memecoin]? It's trending on Twitter.

Note: The answer will always include risk warnings regardless of the analysis outcome.

Position Sizing

How much should I put into [memecoin] with a $50,000 portfolio?

[Memecoin] is going viral. Is the social activity real or manufactured?

Data Sources

With MCP/CLI tools connected:

DexScreener — Token price, liquidity, pool data, pair age, volume
CoinGecko MCP — Market cap, social stats, listing status
Jupiter Talk MCP — Solana token swaps, route optimization, price impact
Monorail MCP — Solana wallet management, transaction execution
CoinMarketCap MCP — Token data, exchange listings, community metrics
Hive Crypto MCP — Social sentiment, influencer tracking

Without tool access: Ask the user to provide:

Token contract address (on which chain: Solana, Base, Ethereum)
Current price and market cap
Liquidity pool size and lock status
Age of the token (when deployed)
Social media links and activity level
Any red flags they have already noticed

WARNING: Without on-chain verification tools, rug pull detection is severely limited. Proceed with maximum caution and minimum position size.

Methodology

RISK REMINDER: Every step of this methodology operates under the assumption that the token will go to zero. The analysis determines whether there is a marginal edge — not safety. There is no “safe” memecoin trade.

Step 1: Mandatory Risk Acknowledgment

Before ANY memecoin analysis, state the following to the user:

RISK DISCLOSURE — MEMECOINS

1. Most memecoins (95-99%) go to zero permanently
2. You should assume 100% loss of any capital deployed
3. NEVER risk money you cannot afford to lose completely
4. NEVER use leverage on memecoins under any circumstances
5. Maximum allocation: 0.5% of total portfolio per memecoin
6. This is the highest-risk activity in trading — treat it accordingly
7. Past memecoin winners (DOGE, SHIB, PEPE) are survivorship bias —
   for every winner, thousands went to zero
8. Smart contract risk, rug pull risk, and manipulation risk are all present
9. Memecoins have NO fundamental value — price is purely social consensus
10. If you cannot accept a 100% loss on this trade, DO NOT ENTER

Proceed? (user must acknowledge)

Step 2: Token Launch Awareness

pump.fun Bonding Curve Mechanics

PUMP.FUN LAUNCH MECHANICS

How it works:
  1. Creator launches a token with no upfront liquidity
  2. Token price follows a BONDING CURVE:
     - Price increases as more buyers join
     - Price formula: exponential curve (early buyers get cheapest price)
     - Total bonding curve capacity: ~$69,000 (in SOL equivalent)
  3. At $69,000 market cap, token GRADUATES to Raydium DEX
     - Liquidity is automatically deposited and burned (locked forever)
     - Token transitions from bonding curve to AMM (Raydium pool)
  4. After graduation, token trades on open DEX like any other

BONDING CURVE RISKS
  - Pre-graduation: Very illiquid, high slippage, price purely social
  - At graduation: Initial liquidity is thin (~$12K deposited)
  - Post-graduation: Dependent on organic trading and additional liquidity
  - Creator can dump their allocation immediately after graduation
  - Bundled buys: Creator may buy from multiple wallets to fake demand

GRADUATION STATISTICS
  - Only ~2-3% of pump.fun tokens graduate to Raydium
  - Of those that graduate, most dump 80-99% within 24 hours
  - Survivorship bias: You hear about the 0.01% that moon
  - Typical lifecycle: hours to days, not weeks or months

TIMING FRAMEWORK
  Pre-graduation (bonding curve):
    - Extremely early, extremely risky
    - If entering: smallest possible size ($20-$50 MAX)
    - Exit: sell into the graduation pump if it comes
  Post-graduation (first hour):
    - Highest volatility period
    - Initial dump from creators/early buyers is common
    - Wait for the dump, then evaluate if a second wave is coming
  Post-graduation (1-24 hours):
    - If volume is sustained and social momentum continues, may have legs
    - This is the "safest" (still very unsafe) entry window
  Post-graduation (24+ hours):
    - If still alive and growing, increasingly likely to survive short-term
    - But long-term survival rate is still <5%

Step 3: Rug Pull Detection

CRITICAL: Run this ENTIRE checklist before ANY memecoin purchase. A single FAIL on a critical item means DO NOT BUY.

RUG PULL DETECTION CHECKLIST

=== CRITICAL (any FAIL = DO NOT BUY) ===

[ ] 1. MINT AUTHORITY
    Check: Is mint authority revoked/burned?
    PASS: Mint authority is null/burned (no new tokens can be minted)
    FAIL: Mint authority is active (deployer can mint infinite tokens)
    Tool: Solscan, Etherscan — check contract authority

[ ] 2. FREEZE AUTHORITY
    Check: Is freeze authority revoked?
    PASS: Freeze authority is null/burned
    FAIL: Freeze authority is active (deployer can freeze your tokens)
    Tool: Solscan — check token account settings

[ ] 3. LIQUIDITY LOCK
    Check: Is the LP locked or burned?
    PASS: LP tokens burned (permanent lock) or locked >30 days
    FAIL: LP tokens in deployer wallet (can pull liquidity instantly)
    Tool: DexScreener — check LP lock status

[ ] 4. HONEYPOT CHECK
    Check: Can you actually sell the token after buying?
    PASS: Sell transactions visible on-chain, normal sell tax (<5%)
    FAIL: No sell transactions, high sell tax (>10%), or sell disabled
    Tool: DexScreener — check recent sell transactions in pool

[ ] 5. CONTRACT OWNERSHIP
    Check: Is the contract renounced?
    PASS: Ownership renounced (no admin can modify contract)
    FAIL: Active owner with ability to modify contract parameters
    Tool: Etherscan/Solscan — check contract owner

=== HIGH RISK (FAIL = extreme caution, minimum size) ===

[ ] 6. DEPLOYER HISTORY
    Check: Has the deployer launched other tokens? What happened to them?
    PASS: No prior rug pulls, clean history
    FAIL: Deployer has multiple dead/rugged tokens
    WARNING: New wallet (no history) — could be clean or evasion
    Tool: Solscan/Etherscan — check deployer wallet history

[ ] 7. TOP HOLDER CONCENTRATION
    Check: What % of supply do top 10 wallets hold?
    PASS: Top 10 holders < 30% of supply (excluding LP and burn)
    CAUTION: Top 10 holders 30-50% of supply
    FAIL: Top 10 holders > 50% of supply (can crash price at will)
    EXTREME FAIL: Single wallet holds >20% (whale dump imminent)
    Tool: DexScreener, Birdeye, Solscan — holder distribution

[ ] 8. BUNDLED LAUNCH DETECTION
    Check: Were multiple wallets used to buy in the first block?
    PASS: No suspicious coordinated buying pattern
    FAIL: 5+ wallets buying in the same transaction/block = insider launch
    Tool: Solscan — check first transactions on token

[ ] 9. SOCIAL VERIFICATION
    Check: Does the project have verified social accounts?
    PASS: Twitter/X account >1 month old, active community, Telegram active
    FAIL: No social accounts, or brand new accounts, or fake followers
    Tool: Manual verification — check account age, engagement quality

[ ] 10. TOKEN AGE
    Check: How old is the token?
    PASS: >24 hours old with sustained trading volume
    CAUTION: 1-24 hours old — too early to evaluate properly
    FAIL: <1 hour old — purely speculative, maximum risk
    Tool: DexScreener — check pair creation time

Step 4: Liquidity Analysis

LIQUIDITY EVALUATION

POOL DEPTH
  Minimum for entry:
    Micro-cap memecoin: >$10,000 liquidity (absolute minimum)
    Small-cap memecoin: >$50,000 liquidity (preferable)
    "Established" memecoin: >$200,000 liquidity
  Below minimum: DO NOT TRADE — exit will be impossible at scale

SLIPPAGE ESTIMATION
  Calculate expected slippage BEFORE buying:
    Your trade size / Pool liquidity = approximate price impact
    Example: $500 trade into $20,000 pool = 2.5% price impact
    Rule: If price impact > 5%, position is too large for the liquidity
    Note: Selling creates DOUBLE impact (you move price down AND pay spread)

LIQUIDITY CONCENTRATION
  Check: Is liquidity evenly distributed or concentrated?
    - If 80%+ of liquidity from one provider → rug risk (they can pull it)
    - If multiple providers → more resilient but still risky
    - If LP tokens are burned → liquidity is permanent (best case)

LIQUIDITY LOCK STATUS
  Locked (time-locked via smart contract):
    Duration matters: <7 days = meaningless, 30+ days = somewhat safe
    Lock contract: Verify the lock contract itself is not exploitable
  Burned (LP tokens sent to burn address):
    Permanent — this is the gold standard for memecoin liquidity
    But: does NOT prevent price dump from selling, only prevents LP rug
  Unlocked:
    HIGHEST RISK — deployer can remove all liquidity at any moment
    If trading an unlocked pool: absolute minimum size, hair-trigger exit

VOLUME-TO-LIQUIDITY RATIO
  Healthy: Daily volume 1-5× liquidity
  Overheated: Daily volume >10× liquidity (unsustainable, likely to crash)
  Dead: Daily volume <0.1× liquidity (no interest, exit will be difficult)

WARNING: Social signals for memecoins are the most manipulated data in crypto. Assume most “organic” activity is manufactured until proven otherwise.

SOCIAL SIGNAL FRAMEWORK

TWITTER/X VIRALITY ANALYSIS
  Real signals (higher weight):
    - Organic engagement from accounts with >6 month history
    - Diverse accounts discussing (not all from one group)
    - Memes being created independently by different users
    - Engagement ratio consistent with follower counts
    - Prominent crypto accounts mentioning organically (not paid)

  Fake signals (zero weight — ignore entirely):
    - Engagement from bot accounts (<10 posts, no followers)
    - Coordinated posting at same time from multiple accounts
    - Copy-paste comments across threads
    - Hashtag campaigns that appear manufactured
    - "Influencer" callouts that read as paid promotions

  Virality score:
    Genuine viral: Independently created content > paid/coordinated by 5:1
    Astroturfed: Coordinated content > organic by 2:1 → RED FLAG

TELEGRAM GROUP ANALYSIS
  Check:
    - Group size vs. active members (if 10K members but 5 active = fake)
    - Message quality: real discussion vs. "LFG" spam
    - Admin behavior: transparent vs. deleting criticism
    - Age of group: >48 hours with sustained activity = slightly better
    - Chinese/Russian bot messages = immediate red flag

INFLUENCER TRACKING
  High risk: Any memecoin promoted by large influencers should be treated
  with EXTRA skepticism:
    - Influencers are often paid to promote (disclosure not guaranteed)
    - Influencers often buy before announcing, sell into their audience
    - The larger the influencer, the more likely they are front-running
    - Track: Did the influencer's wallet buy before their tweet? (on-chain)

KOL (Key Opinion Leader) TRADE TRACKING
  Some tools allow tracking influencer wallets:
    - If KOL bought >30 minutes before tweeting: likely front-running → AVOID
    - If KOL bought after tweeting: at least aligned incentives
    - If KOL's wallet history shows pump-and-dump pattern: permanent blacklist

SOCIAL SIGNAL DECISION MATRIX
  Genuine viral + passes rug check → Consider entry (minimum size)
  Genuine viral + fails rug check → DO NOT ENTER despite social momentum
  Astroturfed + any rug check → DO NOT ENTER — coordinated scam
  No social presence → No catalyst for price increase → SKIP

Step 6: Entry/Exit Framework

EXTREME RISK POSITION SIZING: These limits are not suggestions. They are hard ceilings. Violating them turns trading into gambling.

POSITION SIZING — MEMECOINS

MAXIMUM ALLOCATION PER MEMECOIN
  Hard ceiling: 0.5% of total portfolio
  Recommended: 0.1-0.3% of total portfolio
  Absolute dollar cap: Set a fixed dollar amount you will not exceed
    Example: "I will never put more than $200 in a single memecoin"
    This cap should be independent of portfolio size

PORTFOLIO-LEVEL MEMECOIN LIMITS
  Maximum total memecoin allocation: 2-5% of total portfolio
  Maximum number of active memecoin positions: 3-5
  If all memecoin positions go to zero: maximum loss is 2-5% of portfolio
  This is the DESIGNED outcome — plan for total loss

POSITION SIZING EXAMPLES
  $10,000 portfolio:
    Per memecoin: $10-$50 (0.1-0.5%)
    Total memecoins: $200-$500 max
  $50,000 portfolio:
    Per memecoin: $50-$250 (0.1-0.5%)
    Total memecoins: $1,000-$2,500 max
  $200,000 portfolio:
    Per memecoin: $200-$1,000 (0.1-0.5%)
    Total memecoins: $4,000-$10,000 max

ENTRY RULES
  1. NEVER market buy the first spike — wait for the first pullback
  2. Enter in 2-3 tranches, not all at once
     Tranche 1: 40% of position (initial entry after rug check passes)
     Tranche 2: 30% of position (if price pulls back 20-30% and recovers)
     Tranche 3: 30% of position (if social momentum confirms over 2-4 hours)
  3. Set slippage tolerance: 5-10% maximum (if higher, liquidity is too thin)
  4. Time your entry: avoid first 30 minutes of launch (highest manipulation)
  5. Verify you can SELL before you BUY (attempt a small test sell)

EXIT RULES (TAKE PROFIT AGGRESSIVELY)
  Memecoin winners are RARE. When you have one, TAKE PROFIT:

  | Price Multiple | Action | Position Remaining |
  |---------------|--------|-------------------|
  | 2× (100% gain) | Sell 50% (recover initial investment) | 50% |
  | 3× (200% gain) | Sell 25% more (now in pure profit) | 25% |
  | 5× (400% gain) | Sell 15% more | 10% |
  | 10× (900% gain) | Sell 5% more (keep 5% as "moonbag") | 5% |
  | Any level | If rug flags appear: SELL EVERYTHING immediately | 0% |

  STOP-LOSS RULES
  - Set a mental stop at -50% (sell remaining if position drops 50% from entry)
  - If a red flag appears at ANY time: sell immediately, do not wait for a bounce
  - If social momentum dies (volume drops >80% from peak): sell within 1 hour
  - If deployer wallet moves tokens: SELL IMMEDIATELY
  - Time stop: If no price movement in 24 hours, close position

LEVERAGE RULE
  NEVER use leverage on memecoins. This is non-negotiable.
  Leveraged memecoin positions will be liquidated.
  The volatility of memecoins (50-100% moves in hours) makes
  ANY leverage a near-certain path to liquidation.

Step 7: Red Flags Checklist

If ANY red flag below is present, DO NOT ENTER the trade. No exceptions.

RED FLAGS — AUTOMATIC DISQUALIFICATION

=== CONTRACT RED FLAGS ===
[X] Mint authority not revoked — deployer can print unlimited tokens
[X] Freeze authority active — deployer can freeze your balance
[X] Proxy contract with upgradeable logic — rules can change after launch
[X] Copied contract code from a known scam template
[X] Hidden functions: blacklist, max wallet, max transaction, anti-sell
[X] Tax > 5% (especially asymmetric: 0% buy tax, 20% sell tax = honeypot)

=== DEPLOYER RED FLAGS ===
[X] Deployer wallet has history of launching rugged tokens
[X] Deployer holds >10% of supply (can dump)
[X] Multiple deployer-linked wallets hold combined >20%
[X] Deployer funded from a known rug-pull wallet
[X] Brand new wallet with no prior history (evasion technique)
    Note: New wallet alone is not disqualifying but adds to risk score

=== LIQUIDITY RED FLAGS ===
[X] LP not locked or burned — can be pulled instantly
[X] Pool liquidity < $10,000 — insufficient for any meaningful trade
[X] Single LP provider with >80% of liquidity
[X] LP lock duration < 7 days (cosmetic lock only)
[X] Decreasing liquidity trend (providers withdrawing)

=== SOCIAL RED FLAGS ===
[X] Coordinated shill campaigns (same message across accounts)
[X] Fake engagement metrics (followers/likes purchased)
[X] Influencer callout within first hour of launch (likely paid or front-run)
[X] Telegram group deleting questions about contract safety
[X] "Next 100x" claims with no substance
[X] Project team anonymous with no verifiable identity
[X] Website is a template with generic content (cloned site)
[X] Discord/Telegram admin threatening critics

=== MARKET STRUCTURE RED FLAGS ===
[X] Bundled launch (multiple wallets buying in first block)
[X] Insider wallets accumulating before social push
[X] Volume declining rapidly after initial spike (dump in progress)
[X] Wide bid-ask spread (>10%) in DEX pool
[X] No sell transactions visible (honeypot confirmed)
[X] Token pair only exists on one minor DEX (no aggregator support)

SCORING
  0 red flags: Proceed with minimum position size (still risky)
  1-2 non-critical red flags: Proceed with extreme caution, halve position
  1 critical red flag: DO NOT TRADE
  Multiple red flags: CONFIRMED SCAM — do not interact with contract

Step 8: Post-Entry Monitoring

ACTIVE POSITION MONITORING (memecoins require constant monitoring)

FREQUENCY: Check every 15-30 minutes while position is open
  Memecoins move fast — a 4-hour gap can mean missing a 90% drop

MONITOR THESE SIGNALS
  1. Volume: Declining volume = dying momentum → prepare to exit
  2. Holder count: Decreasing holders = distribution (insiders selling)
  3. Social activity: Drop in new social posts = narrative dying
  4. Deployer wallet: ANY movement = immediate exit trigger
  5. New red flags: Rerun rug pull checklist if new information emerges
  6. Liquidity changes: LP being removed = exit NOW
  7. Exchange listings: Listing on centralized exchange = take some profit

EXIT TRIGGERS (immediate, no hesitation)
  - Deployer moves tokens
  - Liquidity decreases by >20%
  - Social accounts deleted or go silent
  - Copy-cat token launches (attention fractures)
  - Price drops >50% from your entry with no recovery in 2 hours
  - You feel uncomfortable — trust the discomfort and exit

DO NOT
  - "Average down" on a memecoin — this is adding risk to a losing position
  - Hold a memecoin "for the long term" — they are not investments
  - Increase position size because "it will come back" — it probably will not
  - FOMO back in after exiting — the trade is over

Anti-Patterns

WARNING: Every anti-pattern below has caused significant financial losses to traders. These are not theoretical — they are the most common ways people lose money on memecoins.

“It’s the next DOGE/SHIB”: Survivorship bias. For every DOGE, there are 10,000 dead memecoins. The probability of picking the next one is essentially zero. Trade the setup, not the dream.
FOMO buying the spike: Buying a memecoin that has already gone up 500% is buying someone else’s exit liquidity. If you missed the move, you missed it. Do not chase.
Using leverage on memecoins: Memecoins regularly move 50-100% in hours. 2x leverage on a 50% drop = 100% loss = liquidation. NEVER use leverage.
Position sizing based on conviction: “I really believe in this one” is not a risk parameter. Size based on the framework (0.1-0.5% of portfolio). Conviction does not reduce rug pull risk.
Holding through red flags: A rug pull warning sign appeared but the price is still going up. Exit anyway. The price going up while red flags appear means insiders are pumping before they dump.
Not taking profits: A memecoin is up 5x and you think “it can go to 100x.” Take profit at every multiple per the framework. The 100x happens in 0.01% of cases.
Buying based on influencer calls: Influencers buy before they announce. By the time you see the tweet, you are their exit liquidity. Track their wallet, not their words.
“Diamond hands” mentality: Holding a memecoin that is down 80% because “it might come back” is sunk cost fallacy. Cut losses per the framework. The capital is better deployed elsewhere (or not at all).
Treating memecoins as investments: Memecoins have zero fundamental value. They are speculative vehicles with social momentum as the only driver. Do not hold them in a portfolio allocation — they belong in a separate, small “degen” wallet.
Not doing the rug pull check: “The community seems legit” is not due diligence. Run the FULL rug pull checklist. Every single time. No exceptions.

Validation Checkpoints

Input Validation

User has acknowledged extreme risk and potential for 100% loss
Token contract address obtained and verified on block explorer
Chain identified (Solana, Base, Ethereum, etc.)
Portfolio size known for position sizing calculation
User confirms they are not using borrowed money or funds they need
Rug pull detection tools available (or manual verification completed)

Output Validation

Example

User: “BONK2 is trending on Twitter, it’s on Solana, should I buy? My portfolio is $30,000.”

Analysis:

## Memecoin Analysis: BONK2 (Solana)

### RISK DISCLOSURE
This is a memecoin. Most memecoins go to zero.
You should assume 100% loss of any capital deployed.
Maximum recommended position: $30-$150 (0.1-0.5% of $30,000).
NEVER use leverage. Proceed only if you accept total loss.

### Rug Pull Checklist Results

| Check | Status | Detail |
|-------|--------|--------|
| Mint authority | PASS | Revoked -- no new tokens can be minted |
| Freeze authority | PASS | Revoked |
| Liquidity lock | CAUTION | Locked for 14 days (short) |
| Honeypot check | PASS | Sell transactions visible, sell tax 0% |
| Contract ownership | PASS | Renounced |
| Deployer history | CAUTION | New wallet, no prior tokens |
| Top holder concentration | CAUTION | Top 10 hold 28% (near threshold) |
| Bundled launch | PASS | No suspicious first-block activity |
| Social verification | PASS | Twitter account 2 months old, active engagement |
| Token age | PASS | 36 hours old, sustained volume |

Result: 0 critical fails, 3 caution flags --> PROCEED WITH EXTREME CAUTION

### Liquidity Analysis
- Pool liquidity: $85,000 (meets >$50K threshold)
- Volume (24h): $420,000 (4.9x liquidity -- healthy range)
- LP status: Locked 14 days (short -- monitor expiry)
- Price impact for $100 trade: ~0.12% (acceptable)

### Social Signal Assessment
- Twitter mentions: 450+ in last 12 hours (high)
- Engagement quality: ~60% organic (mixed -- some bot activity detected)
- Influencer mentions: 2 mid-tier crypto accounts (neither bought before tweeting)
- Telegram: 800 members, ~50 active (moderate)
- Assessment: Moderate organic interest, some manufactured noise

### Position Recommendation
- Maximum position: $100 (0.33% of $30,000 portfolio)
- Entry plan:
  - Tranche 1: $40 now (if price pulls back to 30-min VWAP)
  - Tranche 2: $30 if price holds after 2 hours with sustained volume
  - Tranche 3: $30 if social momentum continues at 4-6 hour mark
- Slippage setting: 8% max

### Exit Plan
| Level | Action | Proceeds | Running Total |
|-------|--------|----------|---------------|
| 2x ($200 value) | Sell 50% | $100 (initial recovered) | $100 returned |
| 3x ($300 value) | Sell 25% | $75 | $175 returned |
| 5x ($500 value) | Sell 15% | $75 | $250 returned |
| 10x+ | Sell 5%, keep 5% moonbag | Variable | Playing with house money |
| -50% ($50 value) | Sell everything | $50 | Accept $50 loss |
| Red flag appears | Sell everything immediately | Whatever available | Protect remaining capital |

### Final Assessment
MARGINAL -- The token passes critical safety checks but has
multiple caution flags (short LP lock, new deployer, top holder
concentration near threshold). If entering, use absolute minimum
size ($40-$100 total) and follow the exit plan with zero deviation.

This is NOT a recommendation to buy. This is a risk assessment.
Most memecoins that look exactly like this still go to zero.